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Chris Gutierrez vs Vince Morales   Gutierrez by Decision-  These are 2 fighters who are still new to the UFC Octagon.  Chris is 2-1 and Vince is 1-2 including a decision loss to Song.  I feel that Chris will do enough to pull out a split decision victory.  This is pretty evenly matched so when it comes to the judges anyone could win.  Last 2 events I had 1 person as a victor as judges had it complete other way so can't predict this one.  I wouldn't bet it or put it in my DFS Lineup.  

 

 

Casey Kenney vs Louis Smolka-  This is a tough one again.  Casey is taking on short notice and he doesn't have a lot of experience in UFC.  Smolka has fought some good fighters, won some lost some.  Casey seems to be a decision guy as Louis is a finisher or get finished guy.  I think he won't finish Kenney and Kenney wins by Decision

 

 

Tim Elliott vs Brandon Royval-  We have Tim who is very experienced, has been in with the best in world ala Demitrius, Benavidez, and some of the best young guys like Askarov, Figueiredo.  He has a method to his madness, very unorthodox fighter who likes to finish in guillotines.  Brandon has his UFC debut, has fought lower competition finishing most by submission.  Lost to Kenney by decision.  I think Tim has fought some of the best in world and UFC is giving him a pick me up fight so he can go in and get a win.  I have Tim getting a submission in the 2nd round, my guess is by Guillotine.  

 

 

Klidson Abreu vs Jamahal Hill-  Klidson has fought mediocre fighters but has a lot of experience whereas Hill is new to UFC.  Klidson is a Submission artist with experience with Gracies.  10 Submissions and I think it will be 11 after Abreu will submit Hill in most likely a rear naked choke in the 1st or 2nd round.  My Guess is in 1st round 

 

 

Spike Carlyle vs Bill Quarantillo-  This should have some fireworks and someone will get finished in 1st round.  I have Alpha Ginger getting a KO in 1st round, Possibly early 2nd.  He has alot of energy and excitement with his KO ability he is good on the ground, good young prospect with loads of talent.  I like Quarantillo but with Carlyle wrestling/judo experience I think he will stay standing and not get taken down.  Quarantillo could win by Triangle while Spike is ground and pounding but don't think spike will keep it on ground.  Both good young guys though

 

 

Katlyn Chookagian vs Antonina Shevchenko-  I am so torn with this.  My heart says Shevchenko, but the Judges will say Chookagian.  Chookagian has gone 3 rounds in most if not all her fights.  She is a DECISION MACHINE and she will press forward and throw volume and make the fight look good in her favor.  The only way for Shevchenko to win is to KO her or Submit her.  This is a risk so I wouldn't touch it but I am going Shevchenko in 2nd Round Submission.  She will have trained with her bis sis Valentina and give her the secrets to Chookagian.  

 

 

Hannah Cifers vs Mackenzie Dern- This comes down to Dern and her ability to take Cifers down.  Dern has looked absolutely horrible in standup, this is the better looking less talented type of Rhonda Rousey.  Cifers has a great chin and is very tough.  Dern is a huge favorite, mainly because of the hype she has sort of like a Van Zant type hype.  Dern had a baby recently and I don't think she is quite ready and plus has to work on her stand up a little more.  I have Cifers keeping this up, so when Dern falls she won't go down and finish.  Cifers by Unanious Decision big Sleeper

 

 

Roosevelt Roberts vs Brok Weaver-  I don't have the slightest idea, I know it's going to be a Decision and from what the judges scores have been ill Take Roberts with pushing the action and landing more punches whereas weaver won't show a lot of excitment like Roberts will.  It will be Roberts with Decision

 

 

Daniel Rodriguez vs Gabriel Green -  This will be a brawl, props to green for last minute replacement as Holland got injured.  Rodriguez can certainly bring it and with a full training camp and being prepared he doesn't have to worry too much about green.  I have Rodriguez in 1st round possible 2nd rd KO

 

 

Blagoy Ivanov vs Augusto Sakai-  Ivanov has fought the best of the best and his 3 losses have came from some of the best to ever step into Octagon.  Sakai has beaten some older vets and some good fighters who have came back from long absences.  Sakai is a soft looking brawler who swings for fences, I think with Ivanov strong chin that has lasted through fights with Derrick Lewis, Junior Dos Santos ending in decisions, he will either knock down or take down Sakai and finish it with a rear naked choke.  Maybe we might see a keylock as well.  Ivanov by Submission in 2nd rd

 

 

Tyron Woodley Vs Gilbert Burns- This IS THE MAIN EVENT OF THE EVENING!!  Gilbert is defintely a person who deserves a title shot.  I really like Woodley.  I like that he is quiet and that he wants to prove he is the best fighter in the world.  Woodley was very strategic with Usman which is understandable but he will be aggressive and I can picture a KO in the 2nd round
 

Fanduel/Draftkings Picks

 

FANDUEL

MVP Klidson Abreu

Tim Elliott

Daniel Rodriguez

Mackenzie Dern

Blagoy Ivanov

Spike Carlyle

                               

                                            DRAFTKINGS

Klidson Abreu

Tim Elliott

Daniel Rodriguez

Mackenzie Dern

Blagoy Ivanov

Tyron Woodley

Betting Picks

 

Louis Smolka ML +222 (small bet)

Elliott vs Royval Under 2.5 EV

Abreu ML EV

Abreu vs Hill Under 2.5 +155

Chookagian ML +110 (small bet)

Chookagian vs Shevchenko Under 2.5 +400 (small bet)

Cifers ML +320 (small bet)

Cifers vs Dern Under 1.5 +120

 Brok Weaver ML +270 (small bet)

Spike Carlyle ML +110

Blagoy Ivanov ML -115

Ivanov vs Sakai Under 2.5 +140

Props

B IVANOV BY KO, TKO, DQ OR SUBMISSION +250

T WOODLEY BY KO, TKO, DQ OR SUBMISSION +110

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